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The Blanket - A Journal of Protest & Dissent

2025: Dawn of the New Troubles?

All may be peace and harmony on the island of Ireland, but controversial political commentator Dr John Coulter predicts the seeds of doom have already been sown for the New Troubles set to erupt by 2025.


Dr John Coulter • 14 May 2007

The new dawn of peace in Ireland will probably last for at least a decade, then as racist crime begins to climb, the violence will bubble for a few years, but by 2025 at the latest the New Troubles will have erupted.

Okay, so this lands a major tsunami on the current mood of happy clappy euphoria sweeping the island now the new power-sharing Executive has finally ended eight centuries of religious slaughter.

In spite of all the well-meaning back slapping, grinning photo calls and fresh faced ministers touring the North, the latest hate crime figures show another significant rise.

In the year ending 31st March, 2007, according to the cops, racist incidents were up 111 or almost 12 per cent on the same period for 2006. And the 2006 figures had shown a rise on the 2005 data.

One of the first joint events by Ian Paisley and Martin McGuinness since taking over the reins of power less than a month ago was to host a reception at Stormont for the North’s ethnic communities.

Everybody wants to work together in this new honeymoon of supposedly lasting peace – and that includes welcoming migrant workers, the ethnic communities and asylum seekers to the island. They are everybody’s friends.

Well, if this is truly the case, is the increase in racial crime imagined? Nobody wants to talk about racial crime for fear of being branded a scaremonger, racist, fascist or Nazi.

Who wants to speak about a potential race war when 800 years of religious conflict have just been finally solved. The late Enoch Powell’s career in Britain came to a shuddering halt following his notorious ‘rivers of blood’ speech.

But the seeds of the next Troubles are already being sown. Worse still, they are being carefully nurtured right under the noses of the luvvy duvvy Assembly.

In this month’s parliamentary and local government elections in Scotland, England and Wales, the Far Right British National Party notched up more than 301,000 votes.

And while it only increased its seats tally by a couple and the feared break-through did not emerge, it should have sounded an alarm bell as to what could happen on this island if racial crime is not properly combated.

Already, nutters in the Ku Klux Klan have launched their own so-called umbrella group to unite all of Ireland’s various loony Right-wing crack pots under the banner of the White Aryan Resistance.

Stickers from the equally extremist British People’s Party have appeared across the North, and it’s a dead cert the BNP will want to follow up its vote in Britain by trying to raise its profile in the North.

The power-sharing Executive between Sinn Fein and the DUP will last – even beyond the eventual retirement of Paisley Senior.

It will cement relations between Unionists and Republicans so firmly that anything resembling the sectarian Troubles will never again erupt.

But another political volcano could flare when the ‘feel good factor’ fades from the welcomes to the ethnic communities – when Catholic Irish and Protestant Irish are in direct competition with Migrant Irish for jobs, homes, benefits and university places.

The New Troubles which will erupt by 2025 will be Catholics and Protestants uniting against the migrants – especially if large numbers of those migrants are Asian Muslims.

How the ghosts of Powell and Blueshirt boss Eoin O’Duffy will laugh if this seemingly far off nightmare becomes a social reality before 2025.











































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The Blanket - A Journal of Protest & Dissent



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Index: Current Articles

18 June 2007

Other Articles From This Issue:

Belly Up
Anthony McIntyre

Reality Hits Home
John Kennedy

It's Luta Continua for Sinn Fein in the South of Ireland
Mick Hall

The Scream
Brian Mór

Government Woes
Mick Hall

And Now a Word From Our Minister, Martin
Brian Mór

Ruled By Zealots
Michael Gillespie

Introducing, Big Ian & the Gerryaires
Brian Mór

Another Gigantic Step
Anthony McIntyre

A New Dawn
John Kennedy

The Colonisation of Sinn Fein/IRA
Paddy Hackett

Address to éirígí’s James Connolly Commemoration
Daithí Mac An Mhaistír

Preparing an Irish Democracy
32 County Sovereignty Movement

The Irish Left
Mick Hall

Fred A. Wilcox

Crocodile Tears
John Kennedy

Tensions Haven't Gone Away
Dan Collins

2025: Dawn of the New Troubles?
Dr John Coulter

Do Unionists Really Accept Nationalists as Equals
Michéal MháDúnnaín

Somethings Never Change
John Kennedy

Dawson's Legacy
Dr John Coulter

Don't Take Me Now, Lord
Brian Mór

40 Years of Occupation and 60 Years of Wars: Enough
Mazin Qumsiyeh

Basque Americans for a Special Envoy
Mark J. Guerry

Religion Has Everything to do With Terrorism
Maryam Namazie

6 May 2007

Colluding in Silence
Mick Hall

Censorship Complementing Cover Up
Anthony McIntyre

John Kennedy

Antaine Uas O'Labhradha

Protestantism and the Republic
Roy Johnston

UVF Statement: Unionists Welcome in Nine-County Ulster Parliament
Ruairí Ó Brádaigh

Hidden Hand
John Kennedy

Selection at Eleven
Michael Gillespie

Stormont Christian Coalition?
Dr John Coulter

Ken Bruen's 'The Priest': Galway's Heart of Moral Darkness
Seaghán Ó Murchú

Scottish Left Must Reunite in New Socialist Party!
Mick Hall

Return of the Wild Geese
Dr John Coulter

Calling All de Gaulles!
Eoghan O'Suilleabhain

Blair's Irish Decade
Dr John Coulter



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